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In This Real Estate Market, Private Money is King

 
 Billy O'Neal
With all the turmoil with banks, mortgage companies, and the poor economy, it's become tougher and tougher for investors to get financing on investor properties.

If you have excellent credit, they want you to put a chunk of money down, between 10-20%; nobody wants to put that kind of money into a deal, EVEN IF YOU HAD IT! If you have less than perfect credit, forget getting even those terms. This is the world we live in right now with banks and mortgage companies.

What's the answer? FORGET THE BANKS! Find private lenders. Who are private lenders? They are regular folks who have money in bank cd's, money market accounts, IRA'S, as well as other investment vehicles, earning very low rates of return.

Read more...
 
Commentary: Obama’s Trillion-Dollar, Pork-Barrel, Stimulus Plan

February 13 2009 - Newswise — We are experiencing a severe economic turndown, and we urgently need a stimulus plan. But, the plan needs to be very well thought out. We don’t have another trillion dollars to spend if this trillion-dollar stimulus plan is not effective.

The current proposed stimulus plan will result in limited economic stimulus and a lot of spending for questionable pork, exceed the entire cost of the Iraq war, result in tremendous increases in the national debt and set the stage for rampant inflation when the economy starts to grow.

In addition, many of the proposed stimulus plan programs will commit us to long-term social welfare programs. We may need changes in social welfare programs, but such programs require very serious and lengthy deliberation.

Before addressing new social welfare programs, we need to remember that there are two gigantic and very costly existing social welfare problems that we must address: Social Security and Medicare. Before we consider massive spending on new social welfare programs we should focus on fixing Social Security and Medicare.

Our single largest problem is the ongoing financial system quagmire. I believe our primary focus at this time should be on fixing the financial system. If this is not “fixed,” it is likely that other stimulus programs will have little long-term positive effects. I support the idea of establishing a “bad bank” to deal with questionable bond and mortgage portfolios. This is likely to stimulate the economy by making funds available for lending and investment. And, over a period of years, the government might actually realize a profit on its investment in a “bad bank.”

In addition, the value of housing must be stabilized and incentives provided to increase the value of stock prices. More than 100 million people who participate in and/or depend on defined benefit and defined contribution plans are dependent on the stock market. As much as we may detest the greed of overpaid Wall Street titans, we must realize that all of America is now tied to the stock markets.

One simple way to stimulate the stock market is to freeze or reduce the maximum tax rate on long-term capital gains. This will, at very low cost, eliminate significant market uncertainty and buoy up stock values, resulting in increased consumer expenditures and job creation.

Another way to increase stock values is to change the tax laws to favor investment in plants, machinery, vehicles, etc. We should resurrect the investment tax credit — a tax credit used effectively during the 1970s to stimulate business investment. Such stimulation will result in increased business efficiency (making us more competitive in the world markets), increased business capital spending, job creation, increased business profits, increased stock market prices and increased consumer spending.

With respect to housing, I suggest we establish a program whereby existing home owners and new home buyers can refinance/finance their primary residences at four percent (five percent for a secondary residence), using fixed-rate mortgages for up to 30 years. This would greatly stimulate the housing market and free up consumer cash. To facilitate this program, the government would lend (not give) banks and other lending institutions funds at two-percent interest. The lending institutions would be required to follow pre-established lending guidelines to prevent a recurrence of the existing mortgage crisis. In addition, for 2009 and 2010, allow homeowners to double their itemized deductions for property taxes and mortgage/home equity home interest.

There are many homes currently in the process of foreclosure. The investor risk of purchasing vacated homes and making repairs/renovations so they can be resold is very high. As a fiscal incentive, tax any profits made in the process of the purchase-repair-resale process of such homes as long-term capital gains regardless of the period of time the investor may hold the property.

Finally, let’s cut through all of the pork and limit the stimulus plan to $300 billion. If, six months after passage of the stimulus package, the economy still is languishing, pass another stimulus bill. Don’t just throw $1 trillion at pork and new programs that are likely to waste money, result in unintended consequences, and set the stage for high rates of inflation two or three years down the road.

NOTE: Pritchard is the senior member of the Rohrer College of Business faculty. He completed both his undergraduate degree in physics and an M.B.A. at Drexel University, his M.A. in applied economics at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania and his doctorate in education administration at the University of Pennsylvania. Pritchard has authored/co-authored nine books in the fields of finance, small business management and marketing and has written more than 250 trade journal articles. He has consulted and provided financial training for many businesses and trade associations throughout the United States. Pritchard's research interests include real estate, personal financial management, retirement planning and Social Security. He specializes in applied financial research and pedagogical research principally pertaining to the teaching/learning processes in business and finance.

 
Business Professor Warns of Post Downsizing Stress Syndrome as Job Cuts Continue

February 4 2009 - Newswise — Those fortunate enough to have held onto their jobs during the economic downturn may experience Post Downsizing Stress Syndrome, a psychological response to a combination of widespread layoffs and high levels of job stress, according to a business professor at the University of New Hampshire.

Barry Shore, professor of decision sciences at the UNH Whittemore School of Business and Economics, says many workers are discovering that they must adjust to a new organizational culture and management style, one that the Economist describes as “command-and-control.”

“It is a culture that shifts the focus from motivation and collaboration to delegation and compliance. It is also a culture that expects those who remain to take over responsibility for the work done by those who have left,” Shore says. “Certainly, those who still hold their jobs feel grateful for being spared, but many also feel threatened, abandoned, burdened with more work, and subject to overall greater job stress.”

According to Shore, the stress that develops in a downsized environment is different from traditional job stress. A downsized environment is usually the result of deteriorating business conditions that are beyond the immediate control of management. It affects a wider percentage of the workforce in the organization than it would under more normal circumstances. It can be long-lasting and may recur with increasing intensity as job cuts both within the survivor's company and other companies occur. Employees become obsessed with their plight -- it dominates informal discussions in the organization, and, as a result, employees turn their focus inward and worry about job security rather than focusing outward on job performance.

The symptoms of Post Downsizing Stress Syndrome include trouble concentrating on the job, irritability with fellow workers, anger toward management, higher absenteeism, substance abuse, family problems, feelings of mistrust, health problems, negative attitude toward work, and a sense of hopelessness.

“When several of these symptoms are observed, management needs to take action before the damage spreads through the workforce. Unless treated, the organization’s competitive position may be eroded as morale and then performance suffers. Later, some of the company’s best performers may leave once the job market recovers. This can be particularly unfortunate since those who have survived the reductions-in-force are presumably the better performers,” Shore says.

According to Shore, there are several ways to treat Post Downsizing Stress Syndrome:

• Resist the temptation to blindly follow a command-and control approach. Companies should lead with humility and professional will. Command-and-control can work in the short run, but it stifles individual initiative, commitment, and contribution in the long run.

• Acknowledge the insecurities and fears of the workforce. Bring current concerns into the open, talk about them with employees and acknowledge their concerns. This sends a strong message that a company cares about the plight of its workers.

• Communicate often. This is no time to keep employees guessing. Hold meetings to discuss the problems faced by the company. Ask employees what is on their mind. Start a blog. Create a new page in your newsletter devoted to the issues the company faces during the recession.

• Share the complexities of management decisions. Help employees understand the tradeoff between survival and job cuts. Ask for their suggestions. Would they prefer that the company retain its current workforce level and absorb the drop in business through fewer hours or shorter work weeks, or would they prefer job cuts? By sharing these complexities, employees can offer useful responses during the economic downturn.

• Develop a questionnaire to study employee morale. Before taking steps to improve morale, management should understand current attitudes toward the company, management and the job. Developing a questionnaire to collect data can be useful.

• Encourage collaboration. It is more important now than in the past few years to encourage teamwork and collaboration. Schedule team-building workshops and invite groups to plan their own workplace strategies that may include setting their own budgets and timetables. Ask employees how to do the job better. Try to resist the temptation to increase responsibility while stifling authority and control.

• Improve trust. Trust is one of the most important human resource assets, but there is no quicker way to undermine it than to cut jobs and impose a command-and-control culture. Management must do what it can to manage this asset. Trust starts with honesty, even when it means warning employees that bad news may be coming. Trust also requires fairness, even when it means explaining what criterion was used to furlough workers, and even when this explanation leads to significant criticism from employees. Finally, trust is doing one’s best to keep promises, even when these promises are tough to keep.

• Recognize contributions. Celebrate accomplishments. Everyone likes to be appreciated, but few take the time to show appreciation.

• Start new projects. Understandably, some projects were delayed as the economic crisis forced the organization to circle the wagons. But that doesn’t mean there should be a moratorium on new projects. Initiate studies of the competitive market environment. What opportunities now exist because competitors have left the market? How have customer needs changed in response to the expectation that this slowdown will be prolonged? The answers to these and other questions may suggest new products, services and projects. It’s important to keep in mind that people are energized by new ideas and fresh starts.

• Involve the workforce in developing new ways to improve old products and processes. The economic crisis provides an opportunity to change processes that have resisted change for many years. Involve employees to make the change effective and to help build morale.

“Developing a strategy to survive the recession should not end with a plan to contain costs and reduce the size of the workforce. Equally important is a focus on the human resources within the firm, one that recognizes the stress that the recession has imposed on those fortunate to have survived job cuts but who are still susceptible to Post Downsizing Stress Syndrome,” Shore says.

The University of New Hampshire, founded in 1866, is a world-class public research university with the feel of a New England liberal arts college. A land, sea and space-grant university, UNH is the state’s flagship public institution, enrolling 11,800 undergraduate and 2,400 graduate students.

 
Vitter Outlines Opposition to Auto Bailout Proposal

December 12, 2008 - (Washington, D.C.) – U.S. Sen. David Vitter today offered several alternatives to the auto bailout package being considered this week by Congress.

“Yesterday I announced two conclusions that I had reached on this bailout proposal: First, that I could not support this bailout in its present form and second, that I would use every possible procedural tool to delay or block a vote on its passage.  I continue to oppose this package today.

“I am not for doing nothing.  We cannot afford to simply pack up and go home because so much is at stake if we don’t take appropriate action.  I believe that if we are to do something, however, it should be the right thing.  There are two proposals being developed and discussed that I could support.

“One proposal by Senator Bob Corker would require that these companies reduce their outstanding debt by 2/3 and they bring their labor costs and work rules more in line with companies like Toyota, Nissan and Honda to make themselves more competitive.  This proposal would also require a change in UAW/VEBA payments, converting some to stock and providing employees with a real stake in the future of these companies.  Finally, it would require that all compensation beyond regular severance pay would end.

“I also support a formal bankruptcy process with help from the U.S. government. Automobile warranties would be backed up by the full faith and credit of the government with debtor financing available if necessary.  There are some who say that a declaration of bankruptcy would amount to disaster.  This is baseless fearmongering – there is another way.  We can demand fundamental, core restructuring and bring about real change in these companies, instead of simply throwing billions of dollars at them with no clear plan in hand.

“I urge my colleagues on both sides of the aisle to come together in a bipartisan manner and say yes to real restructuring.  If we are truly serious about helping these companies survive, we need to help ensure they can effectively compete in the marketplace,” said Vitter.

 
Rockefeller Statement On Emergency Loans For The Auto Industry
December 12, 2008 - Washington, DC – Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) issued the following statement after Senate Republicans blocked legislation that would authorize emergency bridge loans to the auto industry:

“I am stunned and deeply disappointed that Senate Republicans decided late last night to block the good-faith bipartisan auto industry compromise.  
 
The auto industry employs at least 3 million people in America, including many dealers and parts suppliers in West Virginia.  
 
I’m extremely concerned that a catastrophic failure of the auto industry will result in our nation plummeting even deeper into recession and heartache for West Virginia families.

It is clear that the auto companies must restructure their business plans with an eye toward becoming financially sound, take steps to limit executive pay, and create more fuel efficient cars and trucks – but it is also very clear that allowing the auto industry to fail is simply not an option.   Millions of West Virginia and American families should not be allowed to suffer. 
 
At this critical moment, I strongly encourage the President to do whatever it takes to help keep the auto industry afloat and thriving – we must put working people first.”
 
Graham Opposes Auto Bailout Plan

December 11, 2008 - WASHINGTON – U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) made this statement on the auto bailout plan that passed by the House of Representatives yesterday.  The plan is scheduled to come before the Senate in the next few days.

Graham said:

“I oppose the current auto bailout plan. 

“Simply put, the model Detroit has created will not sustain itself in the global economy.  They need to make significant, structural changes before they receive federal assistance and those changes should be made in the private sector. 

“No one wants to see these companies fail and workers displaced.  I feel for the car dealers and their employees who are being hurt by years of bad decisions made by the leadership of the Big 3.  But I also realize that unless major, fundamental changes are made in the way the Big 3 operate, they will likely find themselves right back in the same situation. 

“I will continue to be open to proposals which help return the auto companies to profitable enterprises and protect the taxpayer.  The current plan does not meet those standards.”

 
Brown Statement on Filibuster of Auto Industry Legislation

December 12, 2008 - WASHINGTON, D.C.—U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) today released the following statement following the failure to break the Republican filibuster of legislation to provide bridge loans to the auto industry:

“It's unfathomable to me that Senate Republicans would turn their backs on millions of American families.

“During the recent campaign we heard a lot from Republicans about the people that make up the real America and even the Carhartts they wear.  I guess that was then.

“Tonight, Senate Republicans, who sometimes observe that all wisdom does not reside in Washington, DC, decided that they should dictate a labor contract for American autoworkers to replace the one agreed to just last year.  While workers were willing to be part of the solution, they could not and should not shoulder the entire burden.
“Senate Republicans rejected a plan that had been painstakingly negotiated by the White House to rescue the American auto industry.  The auto companies agreed to strict oversight and tough measures to protect taxpayers, and workers made major concessions.  As they head off for the holidays, Senate Republicans rejected our best hope for preventing millions of lost jobs in Ohio and across the nation.” 

 
Inhofe Calls On Congress To Reject $14 Billion Bailout

December 11, 2008 - WASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, U.S. Senator Jim Inhofe (R-Okla.) gave a speech on the Senate Floor calling on Congress to learn from its own mistakes and reject another major bailout that gives unfettered power to an unelected Washington bureaucrat, in the form of a ‘car czar’ to oversee a $14 billion bailout of the Big Three automakers.  Senator Inhofe has also been an outspoken critic of the $700 billion bailout and its administration by Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, and will continue working to represent the majority of Americans who oppose this near-nationalization of industry. Senator Inhofe has introduced legislation, S.3683 and S.3697, to freeze unexpended expenditures of the first $350 billion installment of the $700 billion and require an affirmative vote of Congress to access the remaining $350 billion.  The following are excerpts of Senator Inhofe’s speech:

 “In Congress, we are currently considering an irresponsible $14 billion bailout of the Big Three auto manufacturers,” Senator Inhofe.  “This legislation empowers one unelected bureaucrat, which has come to be known as the ‘car czar,’ to spend money how he sees fit to keep the auto companies afloat and make the U.S. government part owners of the companies.   

“There are no provisions in the language that specifically direct the car czar to take any specific restructuring actions, such as renegotiating union contracts which has led to nearly a doubling of the cost per worker for the Big Three auto makers compared to their foreign competitors here in the U.S.  The ‘car czar’ will also be empowered to dictate how these companies are to structure and run their business.  This is a bureaucratic, command and control approach to industrial policy in lieu of market forces and Chapter 11.  I believe it only delays critical business restructuring decisions. 

“Why do we now believe that government bailouts and government ownership of shares of these companies without a clear idea of what these companies will do to significantly alter their business models, at least until well into next year, is going to be a successful venture?  The history of even the last couple decades clearly shows that the approach we are considering in this legislation has a track record of waste and failure.  We need to ask ourselves:  Are we not simply throwing good money after bad?  More importantly, are we not simply throwing taxpayer dollars down the drain? 

“I cannot and will not support Congress using taxpayer dollars to bailout yet another industry, and I think we were in this same situation not too long ago with the massive $700 billion financial bailout legislation.  This Congress has set an extremely dangerous precedent. 

“This has been and will continue to be a difficult time for all Americans.  The unwinding of past mistakes is never a pleasant process.  These auto companies have very difficult decisions to make, but no one can argue these circumstances and subsequent tough decisions have been a long time in the making.  However, many of us believe additional government attempts to only patch the situation for the moment will not only be futile, but will also move this country further from those first principles that have made us the great nation we are today.” 

Full Remarks as Prepared for Delivery: 

Mr. President, we are now considering a $14 billion bailout of the Big 3 auto manufacturers.  This legislation empowers one unelected bureaucrat, which has come to be known as the “car czar” to spend money how he sees fit to keep the auto companies afloat and make the U.S. government part owners of the companies. 

 

However, this bill simply makes the U.S. government and U.S. taxpayers part owners of these companies.  There are no provisions in the language that specifically direct the car czar to take any specific restructuring actions, such as renegotiating union contracts which has led to nearly a doubling of the cost per worker for the Big 3 auto makers compared to their foreign competitors here in the U.S.

 

The car czar will also be empowered to dictate how these companies are to structure and run their business.  This is a bureaucratic, command and control approach to industrial policy in lieu of market forces and Chapter 11.  I believe it only delays critical business restructuring decisions.

 

I read an article from the New York Times from mid-November.  It was titled “A British Lesson on Auto Bailouts.”  It briefly discussed the British treatment of the Leyland automobile in the 1970’s and 1980’s.  The article reported that the British government ultimately spent $16.5 billion (in U.S. currency equivalent) to bailout the British Leyland.  The article quoted a top official of the Thatcher government which reluctantly but ultimately backed the bailout.  He said, “I’m not telling the U.S. what to do, but the lessons of the British experience is don’t throw good money after bad.  British Leyland carried on for a few more years, but they’re not there now, are they?”  No, Mr. President, they are not.  They are bankrupt after burning through all their taxpayer bailout dollars.

 

Why do we now believe that government bailouts and government ownership of shares of these companies without a clear idea of what these companies will do to significantly alter their business models, at least until well into next year, is going to be a successful venture?  The history of even the last couple decades clearly shows that the approach we are considering in this legislation has a track record of waste and failure.  We need to ask ourselves:  Are we not simply throwing good money after bad?  More importantly, are we not simply throwing taxpayer dollars down the drain?

 

In the New York Times, just a few days ago, Jeffrey Garten, who served as undersecretary of commerce during the Clinton Administration and now is a professor at the Yale School of Management was quoted saying, “We’re at this moment in history, in which the Chinese are touting that their system is better than ours with their mix of capitalism and state control and our response, it looks like, is to begin replicating what they’ve been doing.”  That is something that should concern us all, and I know concerns the American people.

 

Mr. President, I cannot and will not support Congress using taxpayer dollars to bailout yet another industry, and I think we were in this same situation not too long ago.

 

One unelected bureaucrat administering a massive new government program with taxpayer dollars buying ownership into an industry.  I think we have all heard this one before, and I know the American people have heard this one before and have spoken loud and clear against it.

 

Of course, I’m talking about the massive $700 billion financial bailout legislation.  Treasury Secretary Paulson came before Congress and said that if he wasn't immediately empowered with his plan to buy $700 billion worth of troubled assets we would all be held responsible for the cataclysmic consequences of not "doing something."

 

But then the plan changed.  The plan not longer focused on troubled assets anymore. The new plan was taking positions in major banks.

 

Then we learned that the plan to buy troubled assets had been entirely abandoned and that we should stay tuned for the new plan involving consumer credit markets.

 

Then we learned that the new plan is no plan for the remaining $350 billion of the original $700 billion. 

 

We now know that Secretary Paulson is debating whether to ask Congress for the second $350 billion, but the Government Accountability Office released a report pointing to a number of problems in the administration of the program.  

 

Congress gave Secretary Paulson the $700 billion in two installments of $350 billion. The first has largely been used (perhaps $15 billion remains now) and the second has not. If the financial markets, though still troubled in many ways, are much more stable as the U.S. Treasury and specifically Secretary Paulson claims, Congress needs to remove the authority for the second $350 billion dollar installment or at least vote again given the massive changes in the program and debate about even the need for the second $350 billion.  At the very least, we need to ensure that any plans for accessing the remaining $350 billion needs to be fully debated in Congress and subject to an affirmative vote in both houses. 

 

I have authored two bills, S.3683 sponsored by Senators Sanders, Barrasso, Wicker, DeMint, Roberts, and Vitter to freeze unexpended expenditures of the original $350 billion and require an affirmative vote of Congress to access the remaining $350 billion.  I have also authored S. 3697, sponsored by Senators Barrasso and Coburn which does the same thing on the remaining $350 billion – requiring an affirmative vote of Congress to access those funds.  Currently, the financial bailout legislation states that unless Congress disapproves within 15 days, the Secretary may use the additional $350 billion.  We need to shift that burden.  Congress must reconsider whether granting an additional $350 billion is appropriate given the changes in the program and how the funding is to be used.

 

This Congress has set an extremely dangerous precedent, but as I have said before it also has a chance for redemption.  Doing so just might help the American people have a little more confidence in the integrity of our institutions and the common sense of our leaders.  I believe that by far the greatest threat to economic growth and prosperity in the years to come is the extent to which the government has recently entangled itself in the marketplace.  The government must immediately begin the process of extricating itself from the financial sector of our economy.

 

This has been and will continue to be a difficult time for all Americans.  The unwinding of past mistakes is never a pleasant process.  These auto companies have very difficult decisions to make, but no one can argue these circumstances and subsequent tough decisions have been a long time in the making.  However, many of us believe additional government attempts to only patch the situation for the moment will not only be futile, but will also move this country further from those first principles that have made us the great nation we are today.

 
Secretary of Commerce Carlos M. Gutierrez Opinion Editorial, Washington Post, Washington, D.C. “A Bridge Detroit Needs”

Congress is debating the future of the American automobile industry. With our economy in crisis, this is not a time for ideology; it's a time for pragmatism and common sense. Amid daunting job losses and unprecedented fiscal challenges, the economy cannot sustain a body blow to one of America's most significant industries without giving it a chance to restructure.

The Big Three automakers directly employ nearly 250,000 Americans. Overall, the industry accounts for roughly 5 million jobs. The failure of the U.S. auto industry would have ramifications far beyond Michigan; the impact would be widespread. Every state has a stake in the industry—suppliers in Ohio, dealerships in Texas and port workers in New Jersey.

The effects of a shutdown would multiply beyond the auto industry and would significantly postpone our nation's economic recovery. If Congress fails to act now, U.S. real gross domestic product could decline by more than 1 percent and the country would be likely to lose more than a million jobs.

We all agree that the auto industry is important—but we also agree that real changes and tough decisions must be made to ensure that the firms become financially viable. Any funding must come with significant strings attached. In fact, either a company has workable, viable plans—or it files for bankruptcy. No one is proposing a giveaway.

Congressional leaders have shown a willingness to help the industry build a path to viability. By unlocking funds that had already been allocated for the auto industry, Congress prevents the rescue package for the financial industry from becoming a grab bag of funding for any industry in trouble. If that rescue package were opened to other industries, it would be impossible to stop—and our financial system simply can't afford to forgo this aid.

Congress has proposed a bridge loan program in a way that demands accountability and responsibility from the industry. If the legislation passes, it will be up to the automakers to deliver on the promises they have made to the American people, and there are strong taxpayer protections in place.

The reality of the business world is that a company that isn't profitable and self-sustaining won't survive. The American people cannot afford to pump out cash to help get the industry from one failed business model to the next. The companies' fundamentals have to change.

Automakers must address challenges from top to bottom. And the actions they take must be decisive and meaningful. Reducing CEO salaries to $1 a year and grounding corporate jets are important and symbolic moves, but they are not enough. The challenges are significant and will require difficult choices from all parties.

A satisfactory plan for viability must address all the factors that drive overall competitiveness, such as labor, management and legacy costs; debt structure; dealer network costs; capacity utilization; fuel efficiency standards; and plans for new and existing products. The road to restructuring will be filled with tough decisions.

This is not just a Detroit problem. This is an American problem. Congress has the opportunity to help the auto industry build a bridge to the future. In turn, the auto industry must show that it is worthy of the American people's trust and investment. It must become leaner, more efficient and capable of competing in our 21st-century economy.

The auto industry is just one of today's challenges, but it is crucial to America's economy. By addressing its problems head-on, we will strengthen our economy, help an important industry rebuild for the future and keep America running.

 
Naughty Or Nice? Online Shopping at Work

December 8, 2008 - Newswise — Cyber Monday and the Tuesdays, Wednesdays, Thursdays and Fridays of online shopping that follow can be frustrating — and expensive — for some employers. But Claire Simmers, Ph.D., co-author of "The Internet and Workplace Transformation," says she has seen a recent shift in corporate attitudes concerning employees who shop online at work.

"When you spend over 40 hours a week at work, it's no surprise that employees turn to their office computers to get some holiday shopping done," says Simmers, a professor of management at Saint Joseph's University in Philadelphia.

She believes instead of focusing on workers shopping on the company’s dime, employers should turn their attention to performance outcomes.

"We've got to get away from basing performance on those eight hours," said Simmers. “If an employee spends an hour surfing the Net, but an entire weekend working on a report, there should be trust that both are equally benefiting from this relationship.”

She adds that all employers need to accept that their workforce might be doing their holiday shopping online. “If your company doesn’t already have a written policy, one needs to be created and shared with employees,” she advises.

Simmers also stressed the importance of employees using sound judgment when shopping at work, where keystrokes may be monitored by their company.

“It pays to be a conscientious consumer AND employee,” says Simmers.

 
Business Expert Offers “Top Five” Tips for Safe Shopping Online

December 1, 2008 — According to one estimate, Christmas holiday sales online are expected to total about $32 billion this year. This represents a 9 percent increase in online spending at a time when other sales are expected to remain flat.

Online shoppers need to be as savvy about safety while shopping as their “bricks and mortar” counterparts are. Indiana University School of Law-Indianapolis Professor James P. Nehf offers this “Top Five Ways to Safely Shop Online” list.

1. Use a secure Internet connection. Look for an unbroken key or closed lock in your browser, or for a web address that begins “https” instead of “http.”

2. Buy from retailers that you trust. If you don't know the retailer, do a Google or Yahoo search, or go to bbbonline.org to get information about the company's reputation.

3. Use a credit card rather than a debit/check card. If your credit card information is stolen, you can complain to the card issuer who will investigate and take the charge off. If your debit card information is stolen, your bank account can be wiped out.

4. Do not purchase from a Web site that you found by clicking on a link in an e-mail. The e-mail could be a “phishing” scam involving a shadow site that looks legitimate, but is designed to steal your personal information.

5. Keep your virus software up to date. Malicious software can not only affect your computer's performance, but some types can steal personal data. The risk is greater if you connect to the Internet through cable or DSL.

Nehf is chair of the consumer subcommittee of the Cyberspace Committee of the American Bar Association’s business law section. He teaches contracts, consumer law and commercial law at the law school that is located on the Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) campus.

 
We Should Celebrate Price Deflation

By Doug French

There is now world-wide worrying about price deflation again. After all, real estate prices have sunk, stock prices have hit the ditch, the price of oil has the sheiks concerned, and even Las Vegas hotel room rates have plunged. Sounds like all good news for those of us who buy things, at the same time being a bit of a bummer for heavily indebted sellers.

But Ex-Federal Reserve governor Rick Mishkin told an early morning CNBC audience that "inflation could be too low." On the same program, James K. Galbraith, who teaches economics at the Lyndon Baines Johnson School at the University of Texas at Austin, chimed in that there has been "a huge deflationary shock" to the economy, and of course the government needs to step in and stabilize the markets and bail out businesses.

"The Fed did not allow the money base to expand, and we had a panic in the liquid markets," supply-side guru Arthur Laffer told a Las Vegas audience last week, "which caused this financial panic, pure and simple."

Across the pond, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, writing for the Telegraph, warns "Abandon all hope once you enter deflation." Fine wines and white truffles have dropped in price and these price drops could "spread through the broader economy, lodging like a virus in the British and global monetary systems."

"The curse of deflation is that it increases the burden of debts," frets Evans-Pritchard, who goes on to contend: "Deflation has other insidious traits. It causes shoppers to hold back. They wait for lower prices. Once this psychology gains a grip, it can gradually set off a self-feeding spiral that is hard to stop."

Yes, the current economics brain trust is worried that consumers will collectively show the good sense to delay purchases, pay down debt and increase their savings. After all, this liquidation of malinvestments will likely take awhile. The prudent thing to do in times of uncertainty is not to ramp up debt and spend money you don’t have.

But now all of a sudden saving is a dirty word. According to Evans-Pritchard, "It [savings] also redistributes wealth – the wrong way. Savings appreciate, which is nice for the ‘rentiers’ with capital. The effect is a large transfer of income from working people with mortgages to bondholders."

Of course sounder thinking economists don’t see deflation as evil, as Jörg Guido Hülsmann points out in his just published Deflation & Liberty, "it fulfills the very important social function of cleansing the economy and the body politic from all sorts of parasites that have thrived on the previous inflation."

And although Hülsmann’s definition of deflation is the proper one: a reduction in the quantity of base money, while what the main-stream blathers on about is a drop in prices, the point remains: "There is absolutely no reason to be concerned about the economic effects of deflation – unless one equates the welfare of the nation with the welfare of its false elites," explains Hülsmann.

But to say governments and their friends are concerned about deflation is an understatement. Professor Peter Spencer from York University says the Bank of England has learned many hard lessons since its founding in 1694. And with no gold standard to get in the way, that central bank is "cutting rates very fast, and if necessary they too will to turn to the helicopters," referring to Milton Friedman’s (or Ben Bernanke’s) idea that governments are capable of dropping bundles of banknotes from helicopters to stop deflation.

This printing of money "will keep the [deflation] wolf from the door," according to Professor Spencer. But creating more money doesn’t create more goods and services. There is no wolf at society’s door. "From the standpoint of the commonly shared interests of all members of society, the quantity of money is irrelevant," Hülsmann makes clear. And if the over indebted and the over lent go bankrupt, that’s fine. The fact is, these liquidations have no effect on the real wealth of a nation, and as Hülsmann stresses, "they do not prevent the successful continuation of production."

Meanwhile the Bernanke Fed has gone on an unprecedented growth spurt, more than doubling its balance sheet – out of thin air – in an attempt to bail out the financial community. Formerly the asset side of the American central bank’s balance sheet was Treasury securities with a dash of gold. Now the Fed, despite being double the size, has fewer Treasury securities, with the rest being the toxic securities that has buckled the big Wall Street banks. It’s as if Bernanke is channeling John Law, the architect of France’s Mississippi Bubble back in 1720. Law couldn’t keep his bubble inflated and neither will Bernanke and his fellow central bankers.

While central bankers furiously try to re-inflate, cheered on by the mainstream financial media, monetary authorities should deflate the money supply, pulling in their horns like consumers are doing. Deflation is a "great liberating force," writes Hülsmann, "because it destroys the economic basis of the social engineers, spin doctors, and brain washers."

Doug French is executive vice president of the Ludwig von Mises Institute and associate editor for Liberty Watch Magazine. This article appeared on Lew Rockwell’s site.

 
Toy Sales to Escape Downturn in Otherwise Bleak Holiday Sales Season

Nov 13, 2008 — Most experts predict the upcoming holiday season for retailers will be the worst since the recession in the early 1980s when the nation was hit by increased bankruptcies, agricultural exports plummeted, crop prices fell, interest rates increased, and the federal budget deficit jumped.

Even so, said Dr. Kristy Reynolds, Bruno Associate Professor of Marketing at The University of Alabama Culverhouse College of Commerce, kids need not worry, at least not as much as mom and dad. “Toy sales will be okay or at least not as hard hit. Toy sales are usually resistant to economic downturns because parents are reluctant to cut back,” Reynolds said.

As might be expected, overall holiday sales are already sagging badly, except at Wal-Mart, Costco and a few other big retailers. And, Reynolds said, “There are signs that Wal-Mart has reported that don’t bode well for this holiday season. That’s important because Wal-Mart is often an indicator of the economy and consumer behavior, and Wal-Mart has reported that it has spotted some negative trends.”

For example, she said, more families are buying baby formula at the beginning of the month, and there has been a decline in credit card use.

“Wal-Mart executives say they believe that, one, people have maxed out their credit cards, and, two, people really have to make hard choices in how they spend their money,” Reynolds said.

Reynolds said other signs of tough retail times include a double-digit increase in purchases of private label – read less expensive – goods, and an increase in the purchase of stables over discretionary items.

“And there was a recent report that many Americans are cutting back on their prescription drug purchases,” Reynolds said.

Reynolds said she expects to see declines in product areas in which consumers can delay purchases, such as some appliances and clothing.

Retailers are already holding holiday sales and deep discounts, but Reynolds said even those tactics and lower gas prices have not been enough to lure shoppers back into the stores. Some companies are launching “value” campaigns, stressing, for instance, that the most economical clothing is clothing that lasts, she said.

The ubiquitous gift cards will remain popular, but Reynolds said she expects their growth to slow some, except, maybe, for gas cards. “Shoppers may get better value by buying merchandise instead of a $50 gift card,” Reynolds said, “if a $50 gift is marked down to $25.”

And while gas prices have dropped, Reynolds said there will still be a segment of shoppers who will do all or most of their holiday shopping online. “This year, good deals and free shipping will be more important,” she said.

And of course, no matter how bad things get, the holidays are not complete without Elmo, especially the new Elmo Live, which sells for about $60 and is drawing good reviews.

 
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